Picking Fights With Canada Is Hurting America's Minerals Push, Ex-Official Warns
At a Colorado mining forum, former US sanctions official Edward Fishman said Washington's hostility toward Canada is undercutting its own effort to cut dependence on Chinese critical minerals — because the US has the cash but not the mining know-how.
Washington wants to escape China's grip on critical minerals. According to a former US sanctions official, it is getting in its own way.
Speaking Monday at a mining forum in Colorado Springs, Edward Fishman — a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations who previously worked on sanctions at the State Department — argued that the United States has the capital and the political will to invest in new mineral supply, but not the expertise to develop it. That knowledge, he said, sits in Canada and Australia. And the current hostility from Washington toward Ottawa, in his telling, directly threatens the American strategy.
It is a pointed critique of a policy contradiction: the US wants allied, non-Chinese supply chains, yet strains the relationship with the ally best equipped to help build them.
China dominates the processing and refining of many critical minerals and rare earths, and unwinding that dependence is a stated goal across the US political spectrum. Fishman's argument is that money alone doesn't close the gap — you need mines, engineers and project developers, and North America's deepest bench of that talent is Canadian.
For US precious-metals buyers, the connection to gold and silver prices is indirect. The minerals in question are largely industrial and battery inputs, not the bullion in a typical stack. But the wider theme resonates with why people hold physical metal in the first place: reducing exposure to a single geopolitical rival, keeping strategic supply on friendly soil, and hedging against the frictions that come with great-power competition.
Still, this is commentary, not a market event. Fishman didn't announce a deal or a rule change. For the price of an American Eagle, the drivers that matter remain the Federal Reserve's rate path, the dollar and global spot — not the state of US-Canada minerals diplomacy.
Market View
What outside analysts are saying, drawn from the sources below.
Edward Fishman
Senior Fellow, former US sanctions official, Council on Foreign Relations
He warns that US hostility toward Canada threatens American efforts to cut dependence on Chinese minerals because the US relies on Canadian and Australian mining expertise to develop supply.
mining.com ↗The MapleBull View
MixedFishman's argument is a useful read on strategic risk, but it is a policy-and-supply-chain story, not a price catalyst for gold and silver in the coming weeks. The structural theme — North America wanting minerals independence from China, and needing Canadian expertise to get there — is a slow-burn tailwind for hard assets and for the credibility of North American refining and dealer supply. It does not move spot prices by itself. For bullion buyers, the near-term driver remains rate expectations and the dollar; the cross-border friction is a background risk worth watching, not a reason to expect an immediate move. Hence a mixed read: constructive on the long-run strategic story, agnostic on near-term price.
Bull case
- Structural push to reindustrialize North American critical-minerals supply chains keeps mining and refining capital flowing
- Concerns over China's dominance of minerals processing reinforce the strategic and monetary-hedge case for holding precious metals
- Cross-border tension adds a supply-chain risk premium that tends to support hard assets
Bear case
- Critical-minerals policy is a slow, multi-year story with little direct near-term effect on gold and silver spot prices
- The forum remarks are commentary, not a policy change or a new supply agreement
- Gold and silver price direction remains dominated by central-bank rate paths and the dollar, not minerals diplomacy
Sources
MapleBull researched this story from the following reporting. We summarize and analyze — we don't reproduce source articles.
- Mining Forum: US needs Canada to break China's minerals grip ↗
MINING.COM · Henry Lazenby · Sep 28, 2026
MapleBull's analysis is researched and drafted with AI assistance from the cited sources, then quality-checked before publishing. It is for general information only and is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Prices and market conditions change quickly — do your own research before buying or selling.